Over the last few weeks I have heard some really disturbing data regarding Climate Change. The first was a news story that was set to emerge regarding the break up of the sea ice at the northern latitudes. I was contacted by one of my readers who works in the Canadian government, as this person thought I might want to use it if and when the Polar Bear was put on the US endangered species list. While I could have used it then, and got a lead on the mainstream media, I wanted to see what this meant in relation to the climate models.
This caused me to be given a heads up about some important data that has been critical to the climate modelling that was just plain wrong. Following the second world war, the recorded sea temperature in the Atlantic dipped. As this apparent dip had a significant effect upon the the rate that the climate models showed an effect upon the projected temperature gradient and the rate that it will effect the Sea Ice and the land based glaciers an error here is very serious.
This was later confirmed when in either the science Journal Nature or Science, I cant remember, there was an article that explained how this error was made. As most of these readings were done by the Royal Navy and The US Navy, it was when the US Navy returned to America that this apparent dip in the sea temperature occurred. It turns out that it was just that both navies were using different methods and recording the temperature in a different way. Iron out those differences and the out puts of the climate models changes. Now the models indicate the sea ice gone in ten years. Suddenly the computer models are matching what is really happening in the Arctic.
However, there is a third factor, and this is real breaking news. In a report not yet published, it will show that CO2 levels have already reached to point that they were expected to be at by the end of this century.
I think that we are in the upper reaches of a very polluted river without any means of propulsion.
A Link to the story regarding the break up of the Sea Ice
Image Copyright CSA 2008
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1 comment:
Hmm thought provoking. Several things come to mind. One, I don't think it will take ten years-I think it will be 5.
Two, one thought that just struck me is that plants flourish with high CO2 concentrations-they absorb it.
So here is a new thought. I think increase in global temps is affected by the release of heat created by fossil fuel burning. Not to mention the amount of heat put off by humans and the animals they consume, and the manure piles. In a wild world, the fuel wouldn't get burned, the manure piles wouldn't be created, and humans would not be creating caloric convertion via consumption. Nevermind the energy needed to make the food, transportation, and heating/cooling homes.
PS poor polar bears-drowning-saw a special, awful!
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